In its review of the Governor’s May Budget Revise, the nonpartisan Legislative Analyst’s Office estimated that the state’s year-over-year operational budget deficit will be close to $10 billion annually. This estimate reflects the reality that the state continues to spend more than it is taking in via state general fund revenues. And although the budget is projected to be balanced through the 2026–27 fiscal year, it is unclear whether actions taken by the Legislature and Governor to generate additional revenue — by extending and increasing some specific taxes and capping tax credits large corporations can claim — will resolve the state’s projected operational deficits.
The adopted 2026–27 State Budget includes spending of $351.7 billion spanning special funds, bond money and overall general fund expenditures.
A portion of the increased funding comes from a higher required repayment of the “maintenance factor,” which was created when the state suspended the Prop 98 guarantee by $8.3 billion in the 2023–24 fiscal year. Another term for debt, “maintenance factor” reflects the amount of money owed to public education when the state suspends or is otherwise unable to fund Prop 98 at its estimated level. With increased revenues due to the growth of artificial intelligence the state is required to repay the full maintenance factor amount of $8.3 billion created by the suspension of Prop 98.
Notably, the Legislature adopted the Governor’s proposed “super” COLA for the Local Control Funding Formula (LCFF) of 4.31 percent. However, unlike prior super COLAs, which typically exceed the statutory COLA by several percentage points or more, this COLA is only slightly higher than the level required by statute. While the new funding is welcome, it has significant strings attached. Specifically, local educational agencies are required to provide 14 weeks of paid pregnancy disability to employees.
COEs will also receive $48.3 million to help cover changes in average daily attendance (ADA), which includes the proposed augmented LCFF COLA of 4.31 percent. CSBA continues to support the proposed increase in funding to support COEs’ role in providing universal and targeted assistance.